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Forecasters: Floridians Should Prepare for Hurricane - Local News | News Articles | National News | US News

Will Tropical Storm Fay become a hurricane is what forcasters and Floriadians are bracing for at this point. On it's current track the storm could hit the keys as soon as Monday.

Drudge provided links:

FAY THREAT TO FLORIDA...

Now aimed at Tampa...

5-DAY CONE...

SATELLITE...

Link: FOXNews.com - Forecasters: Floridians Should Prepare for Hurricane - Local News | News Articles | National News | US News.

KEY WEST, Fla.  —  Residents and tourists in the Florida Keys prepared Saturday for Tropical Storm Fay, which forecasters said could strengthen to a hurricane and begin battering the island chain as soon as Monday.

Florida Gov. Charlie Crist declared a state of emergency because Fay "threatens the state of Florida with a major disaster," he wrote in an executive order.

Forecasters predicted Saturday afternoon that the sixth named storm of the 2008 season would make landfall somewhere along western coast of Florida on Tuesday as a hurricane, said Corey Walton, a hurricane support meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Texas Eyes Erin; Dean Becomes Hurricane

Updated 8/19 12:10pm EST: 

Over the next 12 hours Jamaica will feel the wrath of Dean and by the 11pm update we should know much more about what comes next from DEAN. Indictors show the Yucatan Peninsula is on target and Dean will hold Cat 4 strength.

We will continue to update this post, you may see some of the older images and content of the post removed just for clarity.

Tourists stuck in Jamaica, Dean's path as Haiti spared

MONTEGO BAY, Jamaica (CNN) -- Jamaica's electrical grid was powered down Sunday morning as the first winds from Hurricane Dean began pounding the eastern end of the island.

Only a few hundred residents have moved into shelters and many tourists ignored earlier warnings to fly home.

The massive storm, packing maximum sustained winds of 145 mph, was about 130 miles east-southeast of the Jamaican capital, Kingston, and "the center of Dean will be very near the island of Jamaica by early this afternoon," the advisory said.

Hurricane-force winds extended 60 miles from the center; tropical storm-force winds extend up to 205 miles, the advisory said. It was moving west-northwest at 18 mph and was expected to continue moving in the same direction over the next 24 hours.

 

 

Updated 8/18 10:51am EST: Dean is now a Category 4 heading for Category 5 with Jamaica right it it's path.

A site we traded links with back during Rita and Katrina has the jump on Dean coverage....The SciGuy blog (blog of the Houston Chronicle site) has been on Dean for 3 days now, in his latest post he does issue this early warning to South Texas:

LATE-NIGHT UPDATE: It now appears Dean, an extremely strong Category 4 hurricane with 145 mph winds, may not turn toward southeast Texas. The official track tonight calls for a final landfall in Mexico, about 75 miles south of the Texas border. Texas coastal residents in Corpus Christi and points south should watch the storm very closely. Houston also shouldn't tune out the storm, at least not yet.

 

DEAN TRACK...
COMPUTER MODELS...

Hurricane Alley has this path:

_________________________________________________________________________________

Original Post: So we are watching Hurricane Dean and Tropical depression Erin.

DEAN TRACK...
COMPUTER MODELS...
Expected To Grow Into Massive Cat. 4 Storm

 

My Way News - Texas Eyes Erin; Dean Becomes Hurricane

Fla. Storm Drops to Tropical Depression

 

Link: My Way News - Fla. Storm Drops to Tropical Depression.

MIAMI (AP) - Tropical Storm Barry weakened into a tropical depression as it moved toward Tampa Bay on Saturday. Forecasters discontinued the tropical storm warnings and watches issued for stretches of the Gulf Coast as Barry was about 100 miles north-northwest of Fort Myers.

The depression's sustained winds had slowed to near 35 mph and it was moving north-northeast at about 23 mph.

Tropical Storm Barry forms on first day of hurricane season: South Florida Sun-Sentinel

Link: Tropical Storm Barry forms on first day of hurricane season: South Florida Sun-Sentinel.

FOXNews.com - First Named Storm of Hurricane Season Forms in Atlantic - Science News | Current Articles

Tropical Storm Andrea has formed in the Atlantic 3 weeks ahead of the official start to the Hurricane season.

Link: FOXNews.com - First Named Storm of Hurricane Season Forms in Atlantic - Science News | Current Articles.

Tropical Storm FLORENCE Public Advisory

Track

000
WTNT31 KNHC 051442
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 05 2006

...THE SIXTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL
   TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 935
MILES...1510 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N...47.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Link: Tropical Storm FLORENCE Public Advisory.

CNN.com - Potential storm Florence brewing in Atlantic - Sep 4, 2006

Forecasters are predicting this depression could be Tropical Storm Florence.

Link: CNN.com - Potential storm Florence brewing in Atlantic - Sep 4, 2006.

Tropical Storm ERNESTO Public Advisory

Ernesto downgraded.

000
WTNT35 KNHC 272035
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 27 2006

...ERNESTO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT STILL BRINGING TORRENTIAL
RAINS TO HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

AT 5 PM...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI.  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GRANMA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...AND CAMAGUEY.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI
BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...CUBA...
THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...SOUTHERN FLORIDA...
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.5 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI...ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE AWAY FROM SOUTHWESTERN HAITI
TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN CUBA MONDAY
MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ERNESTO IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AFTER
IT MOVES AWAY FROM SOUTHWESTERN HAITI AND IT COULD REGAIN HURRICANE
STATUS BEFORE IT REACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF EASTERN CUBA TOMORROW
MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

TIDES OF UP TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI.  TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF EASTERN CUBA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER HAITI...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...AND PORTIONS OF CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF JAMAICA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...18.0 N...74.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Link: Tropical Storm ERNESTO Public Advisory.

Tropical Depression in Caribbean and Storms in China

Tropical Depression Nears Storm Strength In Caribbean...

TRACK MAP...

Computer Models...

Satellite...

Chinese Storms Leave 15 Million Homeless... 

CNN.com - Tropical Storm Debby forms in eastern Atlantic - Aug 22, 2006

Link: CNN.com - Tropical Storm Debby forms in eastern Atlantic - Aug 22, 2006.

MIAMI, Florida (AP) -- Tropical Storm Debby, the fourth named storm of the season, formed off the coast of Cape Verde in the eastern Atlantic late Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center said.

The depression that formed Monday was centered 300 miles west of the southernmost Cape Verde island and was moving toward the west-northwest at speeds of near 18 mph. Cape Verde is 350 miles off the African coast.

The storm had maximum sustained winds near 40 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The outer bands of the storm produced rain squalls earlier Tuesday in the southern Cape Verde islands.